How the Salas 64 Rankings Work
A results-driven model using opponent strength, site, margin, and mid-major adjustments.
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Inputs we use
- Final score and point margin
- Site (home, away, neutral)
- Opponent’s Salas rank at tip
- Each team’s current record
- Optional context you include (OT, back-to-back, etc.)
Weighting (100% total)
- Results & Résumé Value — 55%
- Consistency & Form (last 2–4) — 20%
- Schedule Strength to Date — 15%
- March Readiness Proxies — 5%
- Mid-Major Adjustment — 5%
Results & Résumé Value (55%)
Opponent tier by Salas rank at tip (multiplier)
- #1–5 = 1.40
- #6–10 = 1.25
- #11–25 = 1.10
- #26–40 = 1.00
- #41–64 = 0.85
- Unranked (65+) = 0.70
Site multiplier
- True road ×1.30
- Neutral ×1.15
- Home ×1.00
Margin with diminishing returns
- Use min(22, margin) for value; blowouts past 22 are capped.
- OT wins count as +2.
- One-possession losses (≤3) to a higher-ranked team are softened.
Single-game Résumé Score
Score = OpponentTier × Site × MarginFactor
- MarginFactor is built from the capped margin and OT/close-game rules above.
Additional penalty
- Home losses to lower-ranked teams receive a −25% penalty on that game.
Season Résumé Sum with light recency
- Last 2 games ×1.20
- Previous 3 ×1.00
- Older ×0.90
Consistency & Form (20%)
- Consistency (10%): lower spread of normalized margins across games is better.
- Form (10%): average normalized margin over last 3 games; road/neutral weighted slightly higher.
Schedule Strength to Date (15%)
- Average opponent tier faced plus site mix bonus.
- Road/neutral share ≥40%: +10% to this subscore.
- Road/neutral share ≤20%: −10% to this subscore.
- If no games vs top-25, this subscore is capped at 60% of max.
March Readiness Proxies (5%)
- Close-game record (decided by ≤5 or OT), road/neutral emphasized.
- Neutral-court log bonus.
- If provided, positive second-half differential adds a small bump.
Mid-Major Adjustment (5%)
- Mid-majors with multiple road/neutral wins vs #1–50 can gain about +3 to +8 rank places relative to similar power-conference profiles.
- A true road top-40 win can offset one “bad” home slip more than it would for power teams.
Tie-Breakers (in order)
- Head-to-head (in reasonably comparable contexts).
- Better road/neutral résumé.
- Higher total Résumé Value (section 1).
- Better short-term form (last 3).
- Fewer bad losses (home loss to #41+ or any loss to 65+).
What moves teams
- Big jumps: road/neutral wins vs higher-ranked opponents by multiple possessions; stacking two quality results in a week.
- Small climbs: clean home wins while peers stumble; balanced road/neutral mix.
- Drops: home losses to lower-ranked teams; non-competitive losses vs peers; repeated narrow escapes vs low opponents.